Nifty (5,088.7)----07 03 2010--------sunday
The Nifty moved contrary to our expectation last week and rallied to the intra-week peak of Rs 5,118.6. Despite the strong 166-point weekly gain, this index has lost its way slightly in the last couple of sessions. The short-term trend however continues to be up and traders can hold their long positions with stop at 4,990.
Since the 50-day moving average is also positioned at 5,000, the band between 4,980 and 5,000 will be an important support zone for the near-term. If this support holds, the index can rally to 5,247 or 5,310 in the days ahead.
Subsequent support is at 4,845. Traders should avoid fresh long positions on a decline below this level.
The medium-term trend in this index will turn neutral on a strong close above 5,067 and will imply an impending rally towards a new yearly high. However, the index continues to have strong intermediate term resistance around 5,300 and a sideways move between 4,500 and 5,300 is likely for few more months.